By R. Hazell
The united kingdom goes via a interval of unparalleled constitutional switch. there's a lot unfinished company, and extra alterations nonetheless to return. the place are those alterations taking us? during this publication, top political scientists and attorneys forecast the effect of those alterations at the UK's key associations and the structure as a complete.
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Additional info for Constitutional Futures Revisited: Britain's Constitution to 2020
As ‘futurists’ have developed systematic techniques for identifying forces shaping change and exploring the different outcomes of their interaction, borrowing critically from these will strengthen the possible versions of the future that we will present. The aim of this section is to introduce the futures techniques that we have chosen – principally ‘scenario planning’ – and show why they ﬁt a study of this kind. The stated aims of this volume sit neatly with the tenets of futures studies. Broadly speaking, there are two possible reasons for undertaking a study of the future: to be predictive, to say what can or what might happen, what is ‘possible’ or ‘plausible’; and to be prescriptive, to say what ought to happen, what is desirable (see Voros 2005: 11).
Predicting the future is uncertain. It is important to think in terms of different possible versions of the future, or ‘scenarios’. We believe that borrowing critically from futures studies and combining these methods with political science and legal theories can add rigour to the forwardlooking process. To help do this we will ﬁrst explain how the history of futures studies has informed the development of its methods; second, move on to why futures studies methods are compatible with this study; and ﬁnally, explain scenario-planning and its relevance to a study of the constitution.
In hindsight, this would have obscured what we have now identiﬁed as one of the main areas for change with the highest potential impact on a macro level: variables 8 and 9 in Lijphart’s terms – what we have described as the political or legal constitution. We believe this aspect should be given greater emphasis and dealt with in more detail, which we have done by drawing on the work of political scientists and constitutional lawyers. As a result of this, we have effectively compacted the remainder of Lijphart’s two dimensions into one: concentration versus dispersal of power.
Constitutional Futures Revisited: Britain's Constitution to 2020 by R. Hazell